Ep. 65 - June Lending Update: Unraveling Real Estate Myths
Jun 12, 2023The real estate bubble is about to POP—! is just what the headlines want you to believe—a lot of myths around floating around the real estate space.
It’s time to shed light on the existing market situation and upcoming trends. As agents or real estate buyers/sellers, it's vital to understand the current scenario, not merely follow what news outlets suggest.
Misconception: Home Prices are Falling
Contrary to what the media has been projecting, home prices are not declining. Statistics depict a different story, asserting that prices remain steady or even rise.
This is a critical insight, especially considering the incoming summer months traditionally see higher transaction rates due to seasonality rather than a forecasted downturn.
Predictions vs. Reality: Transaction Volume
Moreover, the forecast for the year suggests a robust $1.4-$1.5 trillion worth of purchase business. If realized, this would represent the fourth best year in the history of purchase business, contradicting widespread beliefs of a looming market bubble.
Analyzing Market Behavior
In recent trends, homes are hitting the market and receiving multiple offers, often securing contracts within a day. While not universal for every market or listing, it's clear that a constrained inventory continues to accelerate prices.
Housing Supply: The Overlooked Factor
Much like a sudden reduction in refrigerator production would cause prices to increase due to limited supply, the low supply of homes, coupled with a high demand, fuels price stability or even growth.
Any assumption of a decline in housing prices neglects this critical supply factor, often leading to misinformation.
New Income Limits: A Step Towards Affordability
The new income limits, marking an increase from 10% to over 20% from last year, aim to enhance affordability and enable a broader audience to enter the housing market.
Notably, this reflects an underlying trend of wage growth, which partially compensates for higher home prices and interest rates.
Bottom Line
As a real estate agent, these insights can equip you to handle customer concerns about rising mortgage rates. It opens up the discussion on eligibility for bond programs and the "hometown heroes" initiative, which offers opportunities to secure lower rates, thus enhancing affordability.
As a real estate investor, it’s important not to get swayed by inflammatory headlines warning about housing bubbles. The real estate market has a dynamic landscape, and staying informed is crucial. Tune into the podcast and understand the data and trends, which tell a different story.